Notre Dame
W-L: (24-29) PR = 92.9899Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 206 A BYU B12 (19-29, 91.4) 5- 8 206 H Auburn SEC (29-27, 94.8) 4- 5 207 H North Carolina Central MEAC ( 0-13, 84.9) 8- 0 207 A Longwood BSO ( 0-11, 87.8) 7- 3 208 H Liberty CUSA (27-26, 92.4) 5- 1 208 H Rutgers B10 (28-27, 93.4) 4- 6 213 A East Carolina AC (31-27, 91.3) 6- 3 213 H Maryland B10 (19-30, 90.3) 5- 2 214 A Buffalo MA ( 1-13, 87.8) 6- 0 214 A East Carolina AC (31-27, 91.3) 3- 4 215 A LSU SEC (37-21, 97.0) 4- 0 220 H Eastern Kentucky ASUN ( 4-11, 90.2) 4- 5 220 H Ohio MA ( 5- 3, 91.9) 4- 5 221 A Penn State B10 (32-22, 95.0) 2-14 221 A UCF B12 (40-20, 96.2) 2- 6 222 A UCF B12 (40-20, 96.2) 1- 3 227 A Georgia Tech ACC (35-26, 94.8) 4- 8 228 A Georgia Tech ACC (35-26, 94.8) 3- 4 301 A Georgia Tech ACC (35-26, 94.8) 5- 8 301 A Georgia Tech ACC (35-26, 94.8) 5- 8 306 A Grand Canyon MW (53-12, 95.7) 2- 4 306 A San Diego WC ( 2- 7, 88.8) 10- 2 307 A Grand Canyon MW (53-12, 95.7) 4- 5 307 A San Diego State MW (25-23, 92.3) 4- 3 308 H Princeton IVY ( 2- 7, 90.6) 1- 4 311 A UC San Diego BW ( 9-18, 90.4) 8- 6 313 A Stanford ACC (38-15, 96.3) 2- 7 314 A Stanford ACC (38-15, 96.3) 8- 4 315 A Stanford ACC (38-15, 96.3) 7- 4 320 H Clemson ACC (33-24, 93.9) 0- 4 321 H Clemson ACC (33-24, 93.9) 11- 3 322 H Clemson ACC (33-24, 93.9) 1- 4 328 A Kansas B12 (34-24, 95.2) 6-10 329 H California ACC (17-34, 91.3) 2-10 329 H California ACC (17-34, 91.3) 9- 7 331 H Western Michigan MA ( 2- 8, 90.8) 11- 3 402 A Florida State ACC (52-10, 97.5) 2- 7 403 A Florida State ACC (52-10, 97.5) 0-10 404 A Florida State ACC (52-10, 97.5) 4- 8 408 H Valparaiso MV ( 2- 5, 90.2) 2- 3 410 H Louisville ACC (45-15, 95.6) 5- 2 411 H Louisville ACC (45-15, 95.6) 5- 8 412 H Louisville ACC (45-15, 95.6) 5-13 414 A Indiana B10 (41-17, 96.2) 1-11 417 A Syracuse ACC (19-27, 88.9) 6- 2 418 A Syracuse ACC (19-27, 88.9) 9- 5 419 A Syracuse ACC (19-27, 88.9) 2- 3 422 H Michigan State B10 (18-33, 90.6) 9- 1 424 H Boston College ACC (14-38, 90.4) 5- 1 425 H Boston College ACC (14-38, 90.4) 2- 1 426 A Syracuse ACC (19-27, 88.9) 10- 7 428 A USC Upstate BSO ( 3-11, 90.6) 13- 1 429 A Northern Illinois MA ( 2- 7, 89.2) 9- 2
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
206 A BYU 5- 8 -3 1 - -3.82
206 H Auburn 4- 5 -1 -1 0.02
207 H North Carolina Central 8- 0 8 9 -0.88
207 A Longwood 7- 3 4 4 -0.42
208 H Liberty 5- 1 4 1 + 2.64
208 H Rutgers 4- 6 -2 0 - -2.29
213 A East Carolina 6- 3 3 1 + 2.03
213 H Maryland 5- 2 3 3 -0.48
214 A Buffalo 6- 0 6 4 1.51
214 A East Carolina 3- 4 -1 1 -1.97
215 A LSU 4- 0 4 -5 +++ 8.77
220 H Eastern Kentucky 4- 5 -1 4 -- -4.53
220 H Ohio 4- 5 -1 2 - -2.84
221 A Penn State 2-14 -12 -3 --- -9.29
221 A UCF 2- 6 -4 -4 0.00
222 A UCF 1- 3 -2 -4 + 2.00
227 A Georgia Tech 4- 8 -4 -3 -1.41
228 A Georgia Tech 3- 4 -1 -3 1.59
301 A Georgia Tech 5- 8 -3 -3 -0.41
301 A Georgia Tech 5- 8 -3 -3 -0.41
306 A Grand Canyon 2- 4 -2 -3 1.42
306 A San Diego 10- 2 8 3 ++ 4.57
307 A Grand Canyon 4- 5 -1 -3 + 2.42
307 A San Diego State 4- 3 1 0 1.00
308 H Princeton 1- 4 -3 3 --- -6.13
311 A UC San Diego 8- 6 2 2 0.16
313 A Stanford 2- 7 -5 -4 -0.92
314 A Stanford 8- 4 4 -4 +++ 8.08
315 A Stanford 7- 4 3 -4 +++ 7.08
320 H Clemson 0- 4 -4 0 - -3.82
321 H Clemson 11- 3 8 0 +++ 8.18
322 H Clemson 1- 4 -3 0 - -2.82
328 A Kansas 6-10 -4 -3 -1.06
329 H California 2-10 -8 2 --- -10.40
329 H California 9- 7 2 2 -0.40
331 H Western Michigan 11- 3 8 3 ++ 5.10
402 A Florida State 2- 7 -5 -5 0.23
403 A Florida State 0-10 -10 -5 -- -4.77
404 A Florida State 4- 8 -4 -5 1.23
408 H Valparaiso 2- 3 -1 4 -- -4.57
410 H Louisville 5- 2 3 -2 ++ 4.82
411 H Louisville 5- 8 -3 -2 -1.18
412 H Louisville 5-13 -8 -2 --- -6.18
414 A Indiana 1-11 -10 -4 --- -6.01
417 A Syracuse 6- 2 4 3 0.64
418 A Syracuse 9- 5 4 3 0.64
419 A Syracuse 2- 3 -1 3 -- -4.36
422 H Michigan State 9- 1 8 3 ++ 4.85
424 H Boston College 5- 1 4 3 0.68
425 H Boston College 2- 1 1 3 - -2.32
426 A Syracuse 10- 7 3 3 -0.36
428 A USC Upstate 13- 1 12 2 +++ 10.39
429 A Northern Illinois 9- 2 7 3 + 3.99
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 221 A Penn State 2-14 -12 -3 --- -9.29 308 H Princeton 1- 4 -3 3 --- -6.13 329 H California 2-10 -8 2 --- -10.40 412 H Louisville 5-13 -8 -2 --- -6.18 414 A Indiana 1-11 -10 -4 --- -6.01 220 H Eastern Kentucky 4- 5 -1 4 -- -4.53 403 A Florida State 0-10 -10 -5 -- -4.77 408 H Valparaiso 2- 3 -1 4 -- -4.57 419 A Syracuse 2- 3 -1 3 -- -4.36 206 A BYU 5- 8 -3 1 - -3.82 208 H Rutgers 4- 6 -2 0 - -2.29 220 H Ohio 4- 5 -1 2 - -2.84 320 H Clemson 0- 4 -4 0 - -3.82 322 H Clemson 1- 4 -3 0 - -2.82 425 H Boston College 2- 1 1 3 - -2.32 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 215 A LSU 4- 0 4 -5 +++ 8.77 314 A Stanford 8- 4 4 -4 +++ 8.08 315 A Stanford 7- 4 3 -4 +++ 7.08 321 H Clemson 11- 3 8 0 +++ 8.18 428 A USC Upstate 13- 1 12 2 +++ 10.39 306 A San Diego 10- 2 8 3 ++ 4.57 331 H Western Michigan 11- 3 8 3 ++ 5.10 410 H Louisville 5- 2 3 -2 ++ 4.82 422 H Michigan State 9- 1 8 3 ++ 4.85 208 H Liberty 5- 1 4 1 + 2.64 213 A East Carolina 6- 3 3 1 + 2.03 222 A UCF 1- 3 -2 -4 + 2.00 307 A Grand Canyon 4- 5 -1 -3 + 2.42 429 A Northern Illinois 9- 2 7 3 + 3.99 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A BYU (19-29, 91.4) 5- 8 -8.48 10.89 0.74 0.48 -1.84
3 H Auburn (29-27, 94.8) 4- 5 -5.15 14.22 -0.74 0.48 -1.40
3 H North Carolina ( 0-13, 84.9) 8- 0 -15.04 4.33 -0.74 0.48 3.41
3 A Longwood ( 0-11, 87.8) 7- 3 -12.07 7.30 0.74 0.48 7.65
3 H Liberty (27-26, 92.4) 5- 1 -7.53 11.84 -0.74 0.48 10.55
3 H Rutgers (28-27, 93.4) 4- 6 -6.46 12.91 -0.74 0.48 -1.71
3 A East Carolina (31-27, 91.3) 6- 3 -8.62 10.75 0.74 0.48 10.93
3 H Maryland (19-30, 90.3) 5- 2 -9.64 9.73 -0.74 0.48 8.54
3 A Buffalo ( 1-13, 87.8) 6- 0 -12.14 7.23 0.74 0.48 7.58
3 A East Carolina (31-27, 91.3) 3- 4 -8.62 10.75 0.74 0.48 -1.87
3 A LSU (37-21, 97.0) 4- 0 -2.88 16.49 0.74 0.48 16.39
3 H Eastern Kentuc ( 4-11, 90.2) 4- 5 -9.70 9.67 -0.74 0.48 -2.48
3 H Ohio ( 5- 3, 91.9) 4- 5 -8.01 11.36 -0.74 0.48 -2.08
3 A Penn State (32-22, 95.0) 2-14 -4.94 14.43 0.74 0.48 -1.00
3 A UCF (40-20, 96.2) 2- 6 -3.65 15.72 0.74 0.48 -0.69
3 A UCF (40-20, 96.2) 1- 3 -3.65 15.72 0.74 0.48 -0.69
3 A Georgia Tech (35-26, 94.8) 4- 8 -5.06 14.31 0.74 0.48 -1.03
3 A Georgia Tech (35-26, 94.8) 3- 4 -5.06 14.31 0.74 0.48 -1.03
3 A Georgia Tech (35-26, 94.8) 5- 8 -5.06 14.31 0.74 0.48 -1.03
3 A Georgia Tech (35-26, 94.8) 5- 8 -5.06 14.31 0.74 0.48 -1.03
3 A Grand Canyon (53-12, 95.7) 2- 4 -4.23 15.14 0.74 0.48 -0.83
3 A San Diego ( 2- 7, 88.8) 10- 2 -11.09 8.28 0.74 0.48 8.58
3 A Grand Canyon (53-12, 95.7) 4- 5 -4.23 15.14 0.74 0.48 -0.83
3 A San Diego Stat (25-23, 92.3) 4- 3 -7.65 11.72 0.74 0.48 11.85
3 H Princeton ( 2- 7, 90.6) 1- 4 -9.30 10.07 -0.74 0.48 -2.39
3 A UC San Diego ( 9-18, 90.4) 8- 6 -9.49 9.88 0.74 0.48 10.10
3 A Stanford (38-15, 96.3) 2- 7 -3.57 15.80 0.74 0.48 -0.67
3 A Stanford (38-15, 96.3) 8- 4 -3.57 15.80 0.74 0.48 15.73
3 A Stanford (38-15, 96.3) 7- 4 -3.57 15.80 0.74 0.48 15.73
3 H Clemson (33-24, 93.9) 0- 4 -5.99 13.38 -0.74 0.48 -1.60
3 H Clemson (33-24, 93.9) 11- 3 -5.99 13.38 -0.74 0.48 12.02
3 H Clemson (33-24, 93.9) 1- 4 -5.99 13.38 -0.74 0.48 -1.60
3 A Kansas (34-24, 95.2) 6-10 -4.71 14.66 0.74 0.48 -0.94
3 H California (17-34, 91.3) 2-10 -8.57 10.80 -0.74 0.48 -2.21
3 H California (17-34, 91.3) 9- 7 -8.57 10.80 -0.74 0.48 9.57
3 H Western Michig ( 2- 8, 90.8) 11- 3 -9.07 10.30 -0.74 0.48 9.09
3 A Florida State (52-10, 97.5) 2- 7 -2.42 16.95 0.74 0.48 -0.40
3 A Florida State (52-10, 97.5) 0-10 -2.42 16.95 0.74 0.48 -0.40
3 A Florida State (52-10, 97.5) 4- 8 -2.42 16.95 0.74 0.48 -0.40
3 H Valparaiso ( 2- 5, 90.2) 2- 3 -9.73 9.64 -0.74 0.48 -2.49
3 H Louisville (45-15, 95.6) 5- 2 -4.35 15.02 -0.74 0.48 13.58
3 H Louisville (45-15, 95.6) 5- 8 -4.35 15.02 -0.74 0.48 -1.21
3 H Louisville (45-15, 95.6) 5-13 -4.35 15.02 -0.74 0.48 -1.21
3 A Indiana (41-17, 96.2) 1-11 -3.67 15.70 0.74 0.48 -0.70
3 A Syracuse (19-27, 88.9) 6- 2 -11.02 8.35 0.74 0.48 8.65
3 A Syracuse (19-27, 88.9) 9- 5 -11.02 8.35 0.74 0.48 8.65
3 A Syracuse (19-27, 88.9) 2- 3 -11.02 8.35 0.74 0.48 -2.44
3 H Michigan State (18-33, 90.6) 9- 1 -9.31 10.06 -0.74 0.48 8.86
3 H Boston College (14-38, 90.4) 5- 1 -9.49 9.88 -0.74 0.48 8.69
3 H Boston College (14-38, 90.4) 2- 1 -9.49 9.88 -0.74 0.48 8.69
3 A Syracuse (19-27, 88.9) 10- 7 -11.02 8.35 0.74 0.48 8.65
3 A USC Upstate ( 3-11, 90.6) 13- 1 -9.27 10.10 0.74 0.48 10.31
3 A Northern Illin ( 2- 7, 89.2) 9- 2 -10.66 8.71 0.74 0.48 8.99
------
204.62
|
winning pts = 242.8276 losing points = -38.2037
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------